Market Data, Q2 2026

"The market" went up 0.5 percent. Almost nobody experienced that.

Headline numbers hide more than they reveal. Last quarter, one segment rose 2 percent while another fell 1.4 percent. Which one you own decides what actually happened to you.

URA Private Index219.4 Private, quarter+0.5% HDB Resale Index202.7 HDB, quarter-0.3% Flats reaching MOP, 2026~13,484

The number that matters

Four segments, four different quarters

Private residential prices rose 0.5 percent overall in Q2 2026. Underneath that single figure, the segments moved in opposite directions.

0% Landed Core Central Outside Central Rest of Central +2.6% +2.0% -0.2% -1.4%
Quarter on quarter price change by segment, Q2 2026. Source: URA flash estimates, 1 July 2026.

What this means if you are selling

If your condo sits in the city fringe, the index says your segment gave back 1.4 percent while prime rose 2 percent. That does not mean your unit is worth less than last quarter. It means the comparables your buyer's agent will pull are softer, and you need a sharper case for your asking price than you would have needed six months ago.

What this means if you are buying

Suburban and city fringe buyers have more negotiating room than they did a year ago. Prime buyers have less. If you are upgrading out of an HDB into the city fringe, that combination is unusually favourable, and it is exactly the kind of window that closes quietly.

Public versus private

HDB resale has fallen two quarters running

The first back to back decline in close to seven years. For upgraders this is the single most consequential fact of the year, because it changes the gap between what you sell and what you buy.

Private residential, year on year HDB resale, year on year +2.9% 0.0% Q2 2026 against Q2 2025
Year on year index movement. Sources: URA and HDB quarterly statistics, Q2 2026.
The trap

Waiting is not free

If HDB values drift sideways or down while private prices keep climbing, every quarter you wait widens the gap you have to fund. The instinct to "wait for a better time" can quietly cost you more than moving now, depending on the size of the step you are taking.

The other side

More stock, more leverage

Around 13,484 flats reach their Minimum Occupation Period this year, which puts more resale supply on the market. That gives buyers of HDB flats more room to negotiate, and it means sellers are competing with more neighbours than usual.

Supply and financing

Two things shaping the next eighteen months

Government land sales are running well above trend

The 2026 Confirmed List totals roughly 9,320 private residential units, more than 50 percent above the ten year average, with about 4,745 of those added in the second half programme. That supply arrives progressively over the coming years. It is a deliberate policy lever aimed at keeping price growth moderate, and it matters most to anyone buying with a short holding horizon.

Borrowing costs are near multi year lows

Three month compounded SORA sat at roughly 1.06 percent in Q2 2026, which has been cushioning the slowdown considerably. Cheap financing supports affordability now, but it is the variable most likely to move against you, so any plan that only works at today's rate is not really a plan.

Figures compiled from URA, HDB and MAS quarterly publications for Q2 2026. Index values are revised, and flash estimates differ slightly from final statistics. This page is general market commentary and is not a valuation, an offer, or financial advice.

Free consultation

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